Grand Prix Final qualifiers and substitutes
Official hashtag: #GPFigure
Men
Q1. Adam Siao Him Fa FRA - 30 (FRA 15, CHN 15)
Q2. Ilia Malinin USA - 28 (USA 15, FRA 13) - tiebreak (28) total scores 615.15
Q3. Kao Miura JPN - 28 (CAN 13, FIN 15) - tiebreak (28) total scores 532.45
Q4. Yuma Kagiyama JPN - 26 (FRA 11, JPN 15) - tiebreak (26) highest placement 1st
Q5. Shoma Uno JPN - 26 (CHN 13, JPN 13) - tiebreak (26) highest placement 2nd
Q6. Kevin Aymoz FRA - 24 (USA 13, FIN 11) - tiebreak (24) total scores 529.12
S1. Shun Sato JPN - 24 (USA 11, FIN 13) - tiebreak (24) total scores 520.84
S2. Sota Yamamoto JPN - 20 (CAN 15, CHN 5) - tiebreak (20) highest placement 1st
S3. Lukas Britschgi SUI - 20 (FRA 9, JPN 11) - tiebreak (20) highest placement 3rd; 2nd tiebreak (20) total scores 518.03
Pairs
Q1. Deanna Stellato-Dudek/Maxime Deschamps CAN - 30 (CAN 15, CHN 15) - tiebreak (30) total scores 416.12
Q2. Minerva Fabienne Hase/Nikita Volodin GER - 30 (FIN 15, JPN 15) - tiebreak (30) total scores 395.23
Q3. Lia Pereira/Trennt Michaud CAN - 28 (USA 13, FRA 15)
Q4. Sara Conti/Niccolo Macii ITA - 26 (FRA 13, FIN 13)
Q5. Annika Hocke/Robert Kunkel GER - 24 (USA 15, CHN 9) - tiebreak (24) highest placement 1st
Q6. Rebecca Ghilardi/Filippo Ambrosini ITA - 24 (CHN 13, JPN 11) - tiebreak (24) highest placement 2nd; 2nd tiebreak (24) total scores 377.47
S1. Maria Pavlova/Alexei Sviatchenko HUN - 24 (CAN 13, FIN 11) - tiebreak (24) highest placement 2nd; 2nd tiebreak (24) total scores 373.97
S2. Lucrezia Beccari/Matteo Guarise ITA - 24 (CAN 11, JPN 13) - tiebreak (24) highest placement 2nd; 2nd tiebreak (24) total scores 371.73
S3. Cheng Peng/Lei Wang CHN - 20 (CHN 11, FIN 9)
Women
Q1. Kaori Sakamoto JPN - 30 (CAN 15, FIN 15)
Q2. Isabeau Levito USA - 28 (USA 13, FRA 15)
Q3. Loena Hendrickx BEL - 26 (USA 15, CHN 11)
Q4. Hana Yoshida JPN - 24 (USA 9, CHN 15) - tiebreak (24) highest placement 1st
Q5. Nina Pinzarrone BEL - 24 (FRA 13, JPN 11) - tiebreak (24) highest placement 2nd; 2nd tiebreak (24) total score 393.46
Q6. Rion Sumiyoshi JPN - 24 (FRA 11, FIN 13) - tiebreak (24) highest placement 2nd; 2nd tiebreak (24) total score 387.97
S1. Chaeyeon Kim KOR - 22 (CAN 13, FIN 9)
S2. Lindsay Thorngren USA - 20 (CAN 7, JPN 13) - tiebreak (20) highest placement 2nd
S3. Niina Petrokina EST - 20 (USA 11, CHN 9) - tiebreak (20) highest placement 3rd
Dance
Q1. Piper Gilles/Paul Poirier CAN - 30 (CAN 15, CHN 15) - tiebreak (30) total scores 426.84
Q2. Madison Chock/Evan Bates USA - 30 (USA 15, FIN 15) - tiebreak (30) total scores 422.42
Q3. Charlene Guignard/Marco Fabbri ITA - 28 (FRA 15, JPN 13) - tiebreak (28) total scores 429.10
Q4. Lilah Fear/Lewis Gibson GBR - 28 (CAN 13, JPN 15) - tiebreak (28) total scores 424.74
Q5. Laurence Fournier Beaudry/Nikolaj Sorensen CAN - 26 (FRA 13, FIN 13) - tiebreak (26) total scores 411.47
Q6. Marjorie Lajoie/Zachary Lagha CAN - 26 (USA 13, CHN 13) - tiebreak (26) total scores 403.01
S1. Allison Reed/Saulius Ambrulevicius LTU - 22 (CAN 11, JPN 11) - tiebreak (22) total scores 388.87
S2. Evgeniia Lopareva/Geoffrey Brissaud FRA - 22 (USA 11, FRA 11) - tiebreak (22) total scores 384.29
S3. Juulia Turkkila/Matthias Versluis FIN - 20 (FIN 11, JPN 9)
—
With one final event left in the Grand Prix series before the Final in Beijing, it’s time to look at the skaters who still have a shot at the Final and what their chances are going into this week. Below is a discipline-by-discipline breakdown of how the Final is shaking out!
Grand Prix series standings after Grand Prix Espoo
Official hashtag: #GPFigure
Dance (top 6 standings after GP Espoo)
Q1. Piper Gilles/Paul Poirier CAN - 30 (CAN 15, CHN 15) - tiebreak (30) total scores 426.84
Q2. Madison Chock/Evan Bates USA - 30 (USA 15, FIN 15) - tiebreak (30) total scores 422.42
Q3. Laurence Fournier Beaudry/Nikolaj Sorensen CAN - 26 (FRA 13, FIN 13) - tiebreak (26) total scores 411.47
4. Marjorie Lajoie/Zachary Lagha CAN - 26 (USA 13, CHN 13) - tiebreak (26) total scores 403.01
5. Evgeniia Lopareva/Geoffrey Brissaud FRA - 22 (USA 11, FRA 11)
6. Caroline Green/Michael Parsons USA - 20 (USA 9, CHN 11)
—Still with a shot at the Final—
Charlene Guignard/Marco Fabbri ITA - 15 (FRA 15, JPN ??)
Lilah Fear/Lewis Gibson GBR - 13 (CAN 13, JPN ??)
Juulia Turkkila/Matthias Versluis FIN - 11 (FIN 11, JPN ??)
Allison Reed/Saulius Ambrulevicius LTU - 11 (CAN 11, JPN ??)
Marie-Jade Lauriault/Romain le Gac CAN - 7 (FRA 7, JPN ??)
Loicia Demougeot/Theo le Mercier FRA - 7 (CHN 7, JPN ??)
VERY HIGH: Guignard/Fabbri, Fear/Gibson, Lajoie/Lagha
Perhaps the most predictable of the four disciplines here, ice dance has three spots left, and it is very likely that those spots will go to Guignard/Fabbri, Fear/Gibson, and Lajoie/Lagha. Guignard/Fabbri needs a medal to qualify, Fear/Gibson needs at least silver (though there’s one incredibly unlikely scenario where they would need the tiebreak), and Lajoie/Lagha need those prior to teams to finish 1-2 in either order.
LOW: Turkkila/Versluis, Reed/Ambrulevicius
For either of these teams to get to the Final, the most straight-forward (and unlikely) path would be for them to win NHK Trophy.
VERY LOW: Lopareva/Brissaud, Green/Parsons, Lauriault/le Gac, Demougeot/le Mercier
For any of these teams to qualify, they would have to rely on some really unexpected results and/or last minute withdrawals.
—
Women (top 6 standings after GP Espoo)
Q1. Kaori Sakamoto JPN - 30 (CAN 15, FIN 15)
Q2. Isabeau Levito USA - 28 (USA 13, FRA 15)
Q3. Loena Hendrickx BEL - 26 (USA 15, CHN 11)
Q4. Hana Yoshida JPN - 24 (USA 9, CHN 15) - tiebreak (24) highest placement 1st
5. Rion Sumiyoshi JPN - 24 (FRA 11, FIN 13) - tiebreak (24) highest placement 2nd
6. Chaeyeon Kim KOR - 22 (CAN 13, FIN 9)
—Still with a shot at the Final—
Nina Pinzarrone BEL - 13 (FRA 13, JPN ??)
Haein Lee KOR - 9 (FRA 9, JPN ??)
Wakaba Higuchi JPN - 7 (FRA 7, JPN ??)
Lindsay Thorngren USA - 7 (CAN 7, JPN ??)
HIGH: Rion Sumiyoshi
Two spots left for the women in the Final, and Rion Sumiyoshi has the unenviable spot of having lost the tiebreak to Hana Yoshida for a guaranteed spot after last week. But this week’s field at NHK Trophy is interesting and a little confusing. There’s no particular standout for the title, and lots could happen. For Sumiyoshi to NOT make it to the Final, it would require Haein Lee to win and Nina Pinzarrone to finish second, or Haein Lee to win and Nina Pinzaronne to finish third AND win the total points tiebreak over Sumiyoshi. Either way, if Lee does not win NHK, Sumiyoshi goes to the Final.
MEDIUM-HIGH: Nina Pinzarrone
The surprise silver medalist at GP France has a very intriguing look at the Final, especially given that she has the highest number of qualifying points among all of the skaters competing at NHK. Another performance like she had in France would likely put her in the Final. She needs a podium finish (and if bronze, the tiebreaker over Sumiyoshi) to get into the Final.
LOW-MEDIUM: Haein Lee
The fourth-place finish in France puts her in a tough position. She’s got all the goods to win the event, but this season has not been strong for her so far. A win will guarantee her a spot in the Final, silver and a 193+ score will put her in a somewhat decent spot to qualify, but anything else would take her out.
VERY LOW: Chaeyeon Kim, Wakaba Higuchi, Lindsay Thorngren
For any of them to qualify, they would have to rely on some really unexpected results and/or last minute withdrawals.
—
Pairs (top 6 standings after GP Espoo)
Q1. Deanna Stellato-Dudek/Maxime Deschamps CAN - 30 (CAN 15, CHN 15)
Q2. Lia Pereira/Trennt Michaud CAN - 28 (USA 13, FRA 15)
Q3. Sara Conti/Niccolo Macii ITA - 26 (FRA 13, FIN 13)
4. Annika Hocke/Robert Kunkel GER - 24 (USA 15, CHN 9) - tiebreak (24) highest placement 1st
5. Maria Pavlova/Alexei Sviatchenko HUN - 24 (CAN 13, FIN 11) - tiebreak (24) highest placement 2nd
6. Cheng Peng/Lei Wang CHN - 20 (CHN 11, FIN 9)
—Still with a shot at the Final—
Minerva Fabienne Hase/Nikita Volodin GER - 15 (FIN 15, JPN ??)
Rebecca Ghilardi/Filippo Ambrosini ITA - 13 (CHN 13, JPN ??) tiebreak (24) highest placement 2nd; 2nd tiebreak (24) total scores 377.47
Lucrezia Beccari/Matteo Guarise ITA - 11 (CAN 11, JPN ??) tiebreak (24) highest placement 2nd; 2nd tiebreak (24) total scores 371.73
Chelsea Liu/Balazs Nagy USA - 11 (USA 11, JPN ??)
Anastasia Golubeva/Hektor Giotopoulos Moore AUS - 9 (CAN 9, JPN ??)
Kelly Ann Laurin/Loucas Ethier CAN - 7 (CAN 7, JPN ??)
VERY HIGH: Hocke/Kunkel, Hase/Volodin
Last week’s topsy-turvy pairs event in Espoo just demonstrated how crazy this week’s Final qualification could be. Hocke/Kunkel sits right on the edge right now, and thanks to their Skate America win, it will require Beccari/Guarise or Liu/Nagy to win for them to get knocked out of the Final. Their teammates are in a good spot as well—Hase/Volodin’s win last week sets them up for a spot in the Final, and they do that with a podium finish or 4th and the tiebreak.
MEDIUM-HIGH: Ghilardi/Ambrosini
Gold or silver for Ghilardi/Ambrosini would put them in the Grand Prix Final for a second year in a row. Bronze, however, would make the road a good bit trickier, as they would lose the tiebreak to Hocke/Kunkel and would need to win the tiebreak against Pavlova/Sviatchenko and likely one other team to get there.
MEDIUM: Pavlova/Sviatchenko
Like Hocke/Kunkel, they are just waiting after their bronze last week in Finland. And much like Sato in the men’s qualification, Pavlova/Sviatchenko lost that tiebreak and have a much steeper hill to climb. They need Ghilardi/Ambrosini to finish lower than second and then probably win a bunch of tiebreaks. Pairs will perhaps be the most interesting of the disciplines for qualification this week.
LOW: Beccari/Guarise, Liu/Nagy
Both Beccari/Guarise and Liu/Nagy come in with a bronze medal on the GP. If either of them win NHK, then that sets off a whole bunch of outside scenarios (see Hocke/Kunkel above). Silver would give them a shot at the Final but it would require a lot of tiebreak madness.
VERY LOW: Golubeva/Giotopoulos Moore, Laurin/Ethier
For any of these pairs to qualify, they would have to rely on some really unexpected results and/or last minute withdrawals.
—
Men (top 6 standings after GP Espoo)
Q1. Adam Siao Him Fa FRA - 30 (FRA 15, CHN 15)
Q2. Ilia Malinin USA - 28 (USA 15, FRA 13)
Q3. Kao Miura JPN - 28 (CAN 13, FIN 15)
4. Kevin Aymoz FRA - 24 (USA 13, FIN 11) - tiebreak (24) total scores 529.12
5. Shun Sato JPN - 24 (USA 11, FIN 13) - tiebreak (24) total scores 520.84
6. Sota Yamamoto JPN - 20 (CAN 15, CHN 5) - tiebreak (20) highest placement 1st
—Still with a shot at the Final—
Shoma Uno JPN - 13 (CHN 13, JPN ??)
Yuma Kagiyama JPN - 11 (FRA 11, JPN ??)
Lukas Britschgi SUI - 9 (FRA 9, JPN ??)
Nika Egadze GEO - 9 (USA 9, JPN ??)
Gabriele Frangipani ITA - 7 (CHN 7, JPN ??)
Camden Pulkinen USA - 7 (FRA 7, JPN ??)
Luc Economides FRA - 5 (FRA 5, JPN ??)
VERY HIGH: Kevin Aymoz, Shoma Uno
Last week, Kevin Aymoz did himself a lot of favors by winning the tiebreak over Sato, and he puts himself in a very strong position for the Final. There is literally one incredibly unlikely scenario that takes him out, which is if Brischgi or Egadze wins, Kagiyama gets silver and the tiebreak, and Uno gets bronze and the tiebreak. For Shoma Uno, gold or silver guarantees his spot, bronze and the tiebreak guarantees his spot.
HIGH: Yuma Kagiyama
For Yuma Kagiyama, a win this week guarantees his spot in the Final. Silver would require a tiebreak, and because of his score in France, the chances that he wins the tiebreak are pretty high.
LOW-MEDIUM: Shun Sato
Shun Sato lost the total scores tiebreak to Aymoz, which puts him very much on the bubble and changes his qualification chances quite dramatically. He would need some unlikely but still probable scenarios to get to the Final (for example, Uno gold, Britschgi silver, Kagiyama bronze). It’ll be a long shot, but you never know with the men.
VERY LOW: Sota Yamamoto, Lukas Britschgi, Nika Egadze, Gabriele Frangipani, Camden Pulkinen, Luc Economides
For any of them to qualify, they would have to rely on some really unexpected results and/or last minute withdrawals. Among them, Lukas Britschgi and Nika Egadze can control their own destiny with a win, but in this field, that would be quite the epic upset.
—
The 2023-24 Grand Prix series is two-thirds of the way done! Below are the top 10 standings with two more events to come, along with skaters who are still in the running to make the Grand Prix Final. Next week, this page will have the Grand Prix Final qualification scenarios.
Grand Prix series standings after Cup of China
Official hashtag: #GPFigure
Women (top 10 standings after Cup of China)
Q1. Isabeau Levito USA - 28 (USA 13, FRA 15)
Q2. Loena Hendrickx BEL - 26 (USA 15, CHN 11)
3. Hana Yoshida JPN - 24 (USA 9, CHN 15)
4. Niina Petrokina EST - 20 (USA 11, CHN 9)
5. Rinka Watanabe JPN - 18 (CAN 5, CHN 13)
6. Madeline Schizas CAN - 16 (CAN 9, CHN 7)
7. Kaori Sakamoto JPN - 15 (CAN 15, FIN ??)
8. Chaeyeon Kim KOR - 13 (CAN 13, FIN ??)
9. Nina Pinzarrone BEL - 13 (FRA 13, JPN ??)
10. Rino Matsuike JPN - 11 (CAN 11)
—Still with a shot at the Final—
Rion Sumiyoshi JPN - 11 (FRA 11, FIN ??)
Haein Lee KOR - 9 (FRA 9, JPN ??)
Wakaba Higuchi JPN - 7 (FRA 7, JPN ??)
Amber Glenn USA - 7 (USA 7, FIN ??)
Lindsay Thorngren USA - 7 (CAN 7, JPN ??)
Pairs (top 10 standings after Cup of China)
Q1. Deanna Stellato-Dudek/Maxime Deschamps CAN - 30 (CAN 15, CHN 15)
Q2. Lia Pereira/Trennt Michaud CAN - 28 (USA 13, FRA 15)
3. Annika Hocke/Robert Kunkel GER - 24 (USA 15, CHN 9)
4. Valentina Plazas/Maximiliamo Fernandez USA - 18 (USA 9, FRA 9)
5. Rebecca Ghilardi/Filippo Ambrosini ITA - 13 (CHN 13, JPN ??)
6. Sara Conti/Niccolo Macii ITA - 13 (FRA 13, FIN ??)
7. Maria Pavlova/Alexei Sviatchenko HUN - 13 (CAN 13, FIN ??)
8. Lucrezia Beccari/Matteo Guarise ITA - 11 (CAN 11, JPN ??)
9. Cheng Peng/Lei Wang CHN - 11 (CHN 11, FIN ??)
10. Chelsea Liu/Balazs Nagy USA - 11 (USA 11, JPN ??)
—Still with a shot at the Final—
Camille Kovalev/Pavel Kovalev FRA - 11 (FRA 11, FIN ??)
Anastasia Golubeva/Hektor Giotopoulos Moore AUS - 9 (CAN 9, JPN ??)
Kelly Ann Laurin/Loucas Ethier CAN - 7 (CAN 7, JPN ??)
Minerva Fabienne Hase/Nikita Volodin GER - 0 (FIN ??, JPN ??)
Dance (top 10 standings after Cup of China)
Q1. Piper Gilles/Paul Poirier CAN - 30 (CAN 15, CHN 15)
2. Marjorie Lajoie/Zachary Lagha CAN - 26 (USA 13, CHN 13)
3. Evgeniia Lopareva/Geoffrey Brissaud FRA - 22 (USA 11, FRA 11)
4. Caroline Green/Michael Parsons USA - 20 (USA 9, CHN 11)
5. Charlene Guignard/Marco Fabbri ITA - 15 (FRA 15, JPN ??)
6. Madison Chock/Evan Bates USA - 15 (USA 15, FIN ??)
7. Eva Pate/Logan Bye USA - 14 (CAN 5, CHN 9)
8. Lilah Fear/Lewis Gibson GBR - 13 (CAN 13, JPN ??)
9. Laurence Fournier Beaudry/Nikolaj Sorensen CAN - 13 (FRA 13, FIN ??)
10. Allison Reed/Saulius Ambrulevicius LTU - 11 (CAN 11, JPN ??)
—Still with a shot at the Final—
Christina Carreira/Anthony Ponomarenko USA - 9 (FRA 9, FIN ??)
Emilea Zingas/Vadym Kolesnik USA - 7 (CAN 7, FIN ??)
Marie-Jade Lauriault/Romain le Gac CAN - 7 (FRA 7, JPN ??)
Loicia Demougeot/Theo le Mercier FRA - 7 (CHN 7, JPN ??)
Men (top 10 standings after Cup of China)
Q1. Adam Siao Him Fa FRA - 30 (FRA 15, CHN 15)
Q2. Ilia Malinin USA - 28 (USA 15, FRA 13)
3. Sota Yamamoto JPN - 20 (CAN 15, CHN 5)
4. Mikhail Shaidorov KAZ - 18 (CAN 7, CHN 11)
5. Kazuki Tomono JPN - 18 (CAN 9, CHN 9)
6. Shoma Uno JPN - 13 (CHN 13, JPN ??)
7. Kevin Aymoz FRA - 13 (USA 13, FIN ??)
8. Kao Miura JPN - 13 (CAN 13, FIN ??)
9. Yuma Kagiyama JPN - 11 (FRA 11, JPN ??)
10. Shun Sato JPN - 11 (USA 11, FIN ??)
—Still with a shot at the Final—
Matteo Rizzo ITA - 11 (CAN 11, FIN ??)
Lukas Britschgi SUI - 9 (FRA 9, JPN ??)
Nika Egadze GEO - 9 (USA 9, JPN ??)
Gabriele Frangipani ITA - 7 (CHN 7, JPN ??)
Camden Pulkinen USA - 7 (FRA 7, JPN ??)